Passer Rating vs EPA: Which Tells You More?
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →1.5 × target share + 0.7 × air yards share: one number for how much of the passing game runs through him.
The 2026 leaders: Jeremiah Smith (1.035), Chance Morrow (0.927), KJ Duff (0.909).
Minimum to rank: 1.875 receptions per team game (the NFL's rate; the NCAA ranks receivers per game with no reception minimum). 439 players.
| Rk | Player | Pos | Team | Tgt | Rec | WOPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeremiah Smith | WR | OSU | 57 | 44 | 1.035 |
| 2 | Chance Morrow | WR | BUF | 58 | 32 | 0.927 |
| 3 | KJ Duff | WR | RUTG | 54 | 33 | 0.909 |
| 4 | Collin Dixon | WR | ILL | 53 | 40 | 0.873 |
| 5 | Reed Harris | WR | ASU | 41 | 26 | 0.867 |
| 6 | JJ Buchanan | WR | MICH | 38 | 24 | 0.843 |
| 7 | Chris Marshall | WR | ARK | 57 | 35 | 0.839 |
| 8 | Jeremiah Melvin | WR | ECU | 17 | 11 | 0.832 |
| 9 | Eli Wood | WR | USU | 45 | 30 | 0.773 |
| 10 | Kwazi Gilmer | WR | NEB | 45 | 29 | 0.751 |
| 11 | Andrew Marsh | WR | MICH | 41 | 25 | 0.744 |
| 12 | Tony Diaz | WR | IOWA | 45 | 25 | 0.741 |
| 13 | Chris Dawn Jr. | WR | TXST | 39 | 24 | 0.724 |
| 14 | Aveion Chenault | WR | WMU | 22 | 18 | 0.712 |
| 15 | Noah Jennings | WR | MINN | 42 | 26 | 0.709 |
| 16 | Charlie Becker | WR | IU | 35 | 27 | 0.706 |
| 17 | Mike Matthews | WR | TENN | 34 | 18 | 0.697 |
| 18 | Umari Hatcher | WR | SYR | 42 | 29 | 0.696 |
| 19 | Carlos Hernandez | WR | WAKE | 49 | 37 | 0.696 |
| 20 | Isaiah Sategna III | WR | OU | 31 | 20 | 0.693 |
| 21 | Keshaun Singleton | WR | AUB | 45 | 29 | 0.692 |
| 22 | DJ Epps | WR | WVU | 25 | 14 | 0.691 |
| 23 | Kenny Johnson | WR | TTU | 34 | 17 | 0.684 |
| 24 | Junior Sherrill | WR | VAN | 41 | 28 | 0.682 |
| 25 | Jalen Mickens | WR | LT | 28 | 21 | 0.674 |
| 26 | Chris Durr Jr. | WR | MD | 57 | 42 | 0.665 |
| 27 | Bryant Wesco Jr. | WR | CLEM | 38 | 25 | 0.661 |
| 28 | Tyrell Henry | WR | WIS | 43 | 26 | 0.658 |
| 29 | Maguire Anderson | WR | FIU | 38 | 24 | 0.656 |
| 30 | Cam'ron Lacy | WR | MTSU | 47 | 31 | 0.656 |
| 31 | Jayvan Boggs | WR | FSU | 23 | 13 | 0.648 |
| 32 | Gavin Freeman | WR | BAY | 57 | 42 | 0.646 |
| 33 | Jackson Williams | WR | NDSU | 31 | 22 | 0.646 |
| 34 | Kyler Kasper | WR | BYU | 22 | 11 | 0.643 |
| 35 | Adjatay Dabbs | WR | TOL | 43 | 25 | 0.640 |
| 36 | DeAree Rogers | WR | NIU | 41 | 31 | 0.637 |
| 37 | CJ Smith | WR | UAB | 24 | 10 | 0.637 |
| 38 | Amare Thomas | WR | HOU | 39 | 27 | 0.624 |
| 39 | Nick Marsh | WR | IU | 33 | 23 | 0.623 |
| 40 | TK King | WR | NMSU | 39 | 20 | 0.622 |
| 41 | Riley Neer | WR | OHIO | 32 | 23 | 0.622 |
| 42 | Joseph Williams | WR | COLO | 52 | 32 | 0.620 |
| 43 | Kenny Darby | WR | UK | 36 | 25 | 0.618 |
| 44 | Jaden Barnes | WR | CLT | 37 | 27 | 0.617 |
| 45 | Anthony Brown-Stephens | WR | TULN | 29 | 11 | 0.617 |
| 46 | Malachi Toney | WR | MIA | 43 | 39 | 0.612 |
| 47 | Oran Singleton Jr. | WR | TLSA | 38 | 26 | 0.610 |
| 48 | Cayden Lee | WR | MIZ | 43 | 33 | 0.608 |
| 49 | Omarion Miller | WR | ASU | 38 | 25 | 0.604 |
| 50 | Duce Robinson | WR | FSU | 26 | 15 | 0.595 |
| 51 | Josiah Freeman | WR | FRES | 34 | 25 | 0.591 |
| 52 | Matt Coleman | WR | SAC | 45 | 26 | 0.587 |
| 53 | Jordan Shipp | WR | UNC | 25 | 20 | 0.586 |
| 54 | Nik McMillan | WR | KU | 26 | 14 | 0.585 |
| 55 | Braden Pegan | WR | UTAH | 27 | 17 | 0.584 |
| 56 | T.J. Moore | WR | CLEM | 38 | 25 | 0.584 |
| 57 | Anthony Evans III | WR | MSST | 50 | 40 | 0.583 |
| 58 | Onterrio Smith Jr. | WR | SAC | 42 | 22 | 0.579 |
| 59 | Tre Richardson | WR | LOU | 34 | 28 | 0.578 |
| 60 | Patrick Overmyer | TE | HOU | 36 | 25 | 0.577 |
| 61 | Dezmen Roebuck | WR | WASH | 46 | 35 | 0.577 |
| 62 | Lawayne McCoy | WR | LOU | 29 | 17 | 0.574 |
| 63 | Ray Ray Joseph Jr. | WR | ECU | 29 | 19 | 0.573 |
| 64 | Jelani Thurman | TE | UNC | 29 | 16 | 0.566 |
| 65 | Brendan Jenkins | WR | USA | 34 | 20 | 0.565 |
| 66 | Rasean Jones | WR | BOIS | 32 | 23 | 0.564 |
| 67 | Makai Jackson | WR | LIB | 27 | 19 | 0.563 |
| 68 | Jordan Faison | WR | ND | 32 | 25 | 0.562 |
| 69 | Kelby Valsin | WR | FAU | 47 | 40 | 0.559 |
| 70 | Dominic Overby | WR | ISU | 20 | 10 | 0.556 |
| 71 | Brian Rowe Jr. | WR | UCLA | 20 | 11 | 0.554 |
| 72 | Landon Strother | WR | UL | 15 | 10 | 0.550 |
| 73 | Sam Pickett III | WR | APP | 27 | 20 | 0.548 |
| 74 | Jeremiah Scoby | TE | BGSU | 31 | 18 | 0.547 |
| 75 | Asaad Waseem | WR | PUR | 34 | 27 | 0.541 |
| 76 | Donovan Olugbode | WR | MIZ | 37 | 27 | 0.540 |
| 77 | Isaiah Horton | WR | TA&M | 35 | 17 | 0.540 |
| 78 | Ian Strong | WR | CAL | 39 | 23 | 0.536 |
| 79 | Ed Small | WR | TCU | 36 | 28 | 0.536 |
| 80 | Lotzeir Brooks | WR | ALA | 28 | 21 | 0.536 |
| 81 | Ryan Wingo | WR | TEX | 26 | 19 | 0.535 |
| 82 | Howard Kinchen | WR | TROY | 17 | 11 | 0.535 |
| 83 | Branden Ganashamoorthy | WR | WSU | 26 | 12 | 0.532 |
| 84 | Da'Realyst Clark | WR | KENT | 30 | 20 | 0.529 |
| 85 | DeAndre Moore Jr. | WR | COLO | 36 | 18 | 0.529 |
| 86 | Chauncy Cobb | WR | ARST | 30 | 25 | 0.528 |
| 87 | Easton Messer | WR | FAU | 44 | 30 | 0.526 |
| 88 | Semaj Morgan | WR | UCLA | 23 | 14 | 0.525 |
| 89 | Que'Sean Brown | WR | VT | 43 | 33 | 0.525 |
| 90 | Isaiah Myers | WR | MOST | 23 | 17 | 0.523 |
| 91 | Donovan Hamilton | WR | BALL | 29 | 20 | 0.522 |
| 92 | Hunter Summers | WR | ARST | 27 | 20 | 0.521 |
| 93 | Bailen George | WR | UNM | 21 | 11 | 0.521 |
| 94 | Hudson Clement | WR | ILL | 34 | 21 | 0.519 |
| 95 | Carson Clark | WR | SJSU | 41 | 29 | 0.519 |
| 96 | Rodney Bullard Jr. | WR | MSU | 26 | 15 | 0.519 |
| 97 | Sean Wilson | WR | DEL | 33 | 21 | 0.516 |
| 98 | Zion Booker | WR | KENN | 25 | 20 | 0.515 |
| 99 | Koby Howard | WR | PSU | 15 | 12 | 0.512 |
| 100 | Deuce Alexander | WR | MISS | 30 | 27 | 0.512 |
EPA per Target Catch Rate Over Expected Receiving Yards Receptions Targets Receiving Touchdowns Catch Rate Yards per Target Yards per Reception Receiving Yards per Game Yards per Team Pass Attempt Target Share Air Yards Share Receiver Average Depth of Target YAC per Reception Success Rate per Target First-Down Rate per Target Passer Rating When Targeted Red Zone Targets End Zone Targets Deep Targets 100-Yard Receiving Games Scrimmage Yards
What the box score cannot tell you about the people behind the pass.
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
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