Passer Rating vs EPA: Which Tells You More?
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →Ranked by EPA per Dropback. Qualified: 14 pass attempts per team game (the NFL's minimum for passing rate leaders). 2026 (through Week 6) regular season.
EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play
ACE is QuarterbackStats.com's rating for passers, built on the standard completion-percentage-over-expected idea (CPOE). Every throw has a chance of being caught, based on how far it travels, where it goes, the down and distance, pressure and the weather. Complete a hard throw and you earn a lot. Miss an easy one and you lose a lot. Add it up for the season.
| # | Quarterback | Team | Cmp-Att | ACE/100 | ACE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joe Burrow | CIN | 135-189 | +7.3 | +13.7 |
| 2 | Brock Purdy | SF | 119-171 | +5.8 | +9.8 |
| 3 | Lamar Jackson | BAL | 68-96 | +9.0 | +8.4 |
| 4 | C.J. Stroud | HOU | 143-219 | +2.9 | +6.3 |
| 5 | Matthew Stafford | LA | 164-249 | +2.6 | +6.3 |
| 6 | Josh Allen | BUF | 114-171 | +3.4 | +5.7 |
| 7 | Geno Smith | NYJ | 122-177 | +3.2 | +5.7 |
| 8 | Caleb Williams | CHI | 66-91 | +6.1 | +5.6 |
| 9 | Jared Goff | DET | 128-191 | +2.8 | +5.4 |
| 10 | Trevor Lawrence | JAX | 120-184 | +2.6 | +4.8 |
| 11 | Jacoby Brissett | ARI | 156-234 | +2.0 | +4.6 |
| 12 | Dak Prescott | DAL | 163-246 | +1.8 | +4.3 |
| 13 | Drake Maye | NE | 117-183 | +1.8 | +3.4 |
| 14 | Jayden Daniels | WAS | 75-116 | +2.4 | +2.7 |
| 15 | Kyler Murray | MIN | 69-101 | +1.5 | +1.5 |
| 16 | Tyler Shough | NO | 153-235 | +0.6 | +1.5 |
| 17 | Patrick Mahomes | KC | 105-158 | +0.9 | +1.4 |
| 18 | Kirk Cousins | LV | 135-213 | +0.6 | +1.4 |
| 19 | Baker Mayfield | TB | 61-96 | -0.2 | -0.2 |
| 20 | Michael Penix Jr. | ATL | 71-110 | -1.2 | -1.4 |
| 21 | Deshaun Watson | CLE | 111-174 | -1.4 | -2.5 |
| 22 | Bryce Young | CAR | 121-201 | -1.9 | -3.9 |
| 23 | Sam Darnold | SEA | 90-149 | -2.7 | -4.0 |
| 24 | Jordan Love | GB | 135-226 | -2.6 | -5.8 |
| 25 | Jalon Daniels | TB | 60-98 | -6.0 | -5.9 |
| 26 | Aaron Rodgers | PIT | 143-233 | -2.6 | -6.0 |
| 27 | Malik Willis | MIA | 73-130 | -6.0 | -7.7 |
| 28 | Cam Ward | TEN | 109-177 | -4.6 | -8.2 |
| 29 | Daniel Jones | IND | 130-218 | -3.8 | -8.2 |
| 30 | Justin Herbert | LAC | 107-180 | -4.7 | -8.4 |
| 31 | Jameis Winston | NYG | 90-158 | -6.3 | -9.9 |
| 32 | Jalen Hurts | PHI | 89-154 | -7.1 | -10.9 |
| 33 | Bo Nix | DEN | 114-189 | -8.0 | -15.2 |
| # | Team | Att | ACE/100 | ACE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cincinnati Bengals | 189 | +7.3 | +13.7 |
| 2 | Baltimore Ravens | 166 | +7.0 | +11.6 |
| 3 | San Francisco 49ers | 170 | +5.8 | +9.8 |
| 4 | Chicago Bears | 207 | +3.2 | +6.5 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Rams | 249 | +2.6 | +6.5 |
| 6 | Buffalo Bills | 171 | +3.4 | +5.7 |
| 7 | New York Jets | 176 | +3.2 | +5.7 |
| 8 | Houston Texans | 216 | +2.6 | +5.7 |
| 9 | Detroit Lions | 191 | +2.8 | +5.4 |
| 10 | Arizona Cardinals | 233 | +2.1 | +5.0 |
| 11 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 183 | +2.6 | +4.8 |
| 12 | Dallas Cowboys | 246 | +1.8 | +4.3 |
| 13 | New England Patriots | 189 | +2.2 | +4.2 |
| 14 | Las Vegas Raiders | 218 | +1.0 | +2.2 |
| 15 | New Orleans Saints | 234 | +0.6 | +1.5 |
| 16 | Kansas City Chiefs | 158 | +0.9 | +1.4 |
| 17 | Washington Commanders | 200 | +0.5 | +1.1 |
| 18 | Seattle Seahawks | 196 | +0.3 | +0.6 |
| 19 | Minnesota Vikings | 139 | -0.8 | -1.1 |
| 20 | Cleveland Browns | 175 | -1.3 | -2.2 |
| 21 | New York Giants | 209 | -1.9 | -3.9 |
| 22 | Carolina Panthers | 201 | -2.3 | -4.6 |
| 23 | Green Bay Packers | 226 | -2.6 | -5.8 |
| 24 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 194 | -3.1 | -6.0 |
| 25 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 232 | -3.1 | -7.3 |
| 26 | Miami Dolphins | 129 | -6.0 | -7.7 |
| 27 | Tennessee Titans | 177 | -4.6 | -8.2 |
| 28 | Indianapolis Colts | 217 | -3.8 | -8.2 |
| 29 | Los Angeles Chargers | 180 | -4.8 | -8.7 |
| 30 | Atlanta Falcons | 167 | -5.8 | -9.7 |
| 31 | Philadelphia Eagles | 200 | -7.4 | -14.8 |
| 32 | Denver Broncos | 189 | -8.0 | -15.2 |
| Rk | Player | Team | GS | Cmp-Att | Yds | TD | INT | Rate | ANY/A | ACE | EPA/DB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brock Purdy | SF | 6 | 119-171 | 1,460 | 14 | 2 | 118.1 | 9.21 | +9.8 | +0.39 |
| 2 | Lamar Jackson | BAL | 4 | 68-96 | 967 | 6 | 1 | 119.6 | 9.50 | +8.4 | +0.38 |
| 3 | Josh Allen | BUF | 6 | 114-171 | 1,504 | 9 | 4 | 102.1 | 7.83 | +5.7 | +0.38 |
| 4 | Caleb Williams | CHI | 3 | 66-91 | 712 | 3 | 1 | 101.5 | 6.64 | +5.6 | +0.33 |
| 5 | Jared Goff | DET | 5 | 128-191 | 1,485 | 12 | 0 | 111.3 | 8.11 | +5.4 | +0.31 |
| 6 | Trevor Lawrence | JAX | 6 | 120-184 | 1,480 | 14 | 4 | 106.2 | 7.78 | +4.8 | +0.27 |
| 7 | Drake Maye | NE | 6 | 117-183 | 1,463 | 11 | 7 | 92.8 | 6.80 | +3.4 | +0.23 |
| 8 | Bryce Young | CAR | 5 | 121-201 | 1,549 | 11 | 2 | 98.5 | 7.55 | -3.9 | +0.23 |
| 9 | Kirk Cousins | LV | 6 | 135-213 | 1,582 | 14 | 5 | 98.0 | 7.19 | +1.4 | +0.21 |
| 10 | Patrick Mahomes | KC | 5 | 105-158 | 1,309 | 9 | 3 | 103.1 | 8.02 | +1.4 | +0.19 |
| 11 | Joe Burrow | CIN | 5 | 135-189 | 1,361 | 11 | 3 | 104.4 | 6.99 | +13.7 | +0.17 |
| 12 | C.J. Stroud | HOU | 6 | 143-219 | 1,714 | 9 | 1 | 100.9 | 7.54 | +6.3 | +0.16 |
| 13 | Jayden Daniels | WAS | 5 | 75-116 | 759 | 5 | 0 | 97.6 | 6.32 | +2.7 | +0.14 |
| 14 | Dak Prescott | DAL | 6 | 163-246 | 1,639 | 10 | 5 | 90.1 | 6.24 | +4.3 | +0.14 |
| 15 | Matthew Stafford | LA | 6 | 164-249 | 1,794 | 11 | 6 | 91.7 | 6.44 | +6.3 | +0.12 |
| 16 | Jordan Love | GB | 6 | 135-226 | 1,684 | 11 | 4 | 91.8 | 6.93 | -5.8 | +0.11 |
| 17 | Michael Penix Jr. | ATL | 4 | 71-110 | 944 | 6 | 1 | 106.0 | 8.09 | -1.4 | +0.10 |
| 18 | Geno Smith | NYJ | 6 | 122-177 | 1,336 | 7 | 1 | 101.8 | 6.49 | +5.7 | +0.07 |
| 19 | Deshaun Watson | CLE | 6 | 111-174 | 1,174 | 7 | 2 | 92.0 | 5.51 | -2.5 | +0.03 |
| 20 | Jacoby Brissett | ARI | 6 | 156-234 | 1,328 | 9 | 6 | 83.4 | 4.75 | +4.6 | +0.01 |
| 21 | Tyler Shough | NO | 6 | 153-235 | 1,443 | 12 | 5 | 90.1 | 5.48 | +1.5 | +0.00 |
| 22 | Kyler Murray | MIN | 4 | 69-101 | 662 | 2 | 2 | 84.7 | 4.95 | +1.5 | -0.00 |
| 23 | Jalen Hurts | PHI | 5 | 89-154 | 933 | 8 | 3 | 84.7 | 5.26 | -10.9 | -0.03 |
| 24 | Jameis Winston | NYG | 4 | 90-158 | 957 | 7 | 5 | 76.4 | 4.65 | -9.9 | -0.08 |
| 25 | Sam Darnold | SEA | 1 | 90-149 | 1,033 | 7 | 7 | 77.4 | 4.67 | -4.0 | -0.10 |
| 26 | Aaron Rodgers | PIT | 6 | 143-233 | 1,487 | 12 | 5 | 88.0 | 5.33 | -6.0 | -0.10 |
| 27 | Malik Willis | MIA | 5 | 73-130 | 849 | 2 | 4 | 68.4 | 4.36 | -7.7 | -0.11 |
| 28 | Jalon Daniels | TB | 3 | 60-98 | 501 | 3 | 5 | 63.4 | 2.51 | -5.9 | -0.11 |
| 29 | Bo Nix | DEN | 6 | 114-189 | 1,049 | 6 | 3 | 79.4 | 5.04 | -15.2 | -0.11 |
| 30 | Daniel Jones | IND | 6 | 130-218 | 1,290 | 4 | 6 | 71.1 | 4.33 | -8.2 | -0.12 |
| 31 | Cam Ward | TEN | 6 | 109-177 | 998 | 4 | 4 | 75.0 | 4.39 | -8.2 | -0.17 |
| 32 | Justin Herbert | LAC | 6 | 107-180 | 1,141 | 5 | 8 | 68.8 | 3.73 | -8.4 | -0.20 |
| 33 | Baker Mayfield | TB | 3 | 61-96 | 615 | 2 | 2 | 80.0 | 4.63 | -0.2 | -0.23 |
Other seasons: 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2017 · 2016
What the box score cannot tell you about the people behind the pass.
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →Completion percentage over expected gives credit for difficult completions. Here is how ACE measures it.
Read Article →A sack is the rush, the line and the decision. Why our dropback stats count them.
Read Article →Learn the break down of ten mind-body recovery tools, each backed by science, including how and when to use them to perform at your peak.