Passer Rating vs EPA: Which Tells You More?
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →Completed air yards ÷ passing yards. High numbers mean the passer moved the ball himself rather than relying on runs after the catch.
The 2026 leaders: Jalen Hurts (63.1%), Drake Maye (62.7%), C.J. Stroud (62.6%).
Minimum to rank: 14 pass attempts per team game (the NFL's minimum for passing rate leaders). 33 players.
| Rk | Player | Pos | Team | Att | Dropbacks | Air% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jalen Hurts | QB | PHI | 154 | 179 | 63.1% |
| 2 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 183 | 214 | 62.7% |
| 3 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 219 | 237 | 62.6% |
| 4 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 201 | 217 | 61.3% |
| 5 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 189 | 204 | 61.1% |
| 6 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 246 | 265 | 60.7% |
| 7 | Jameis Winston | QB | NYG | 158 | 178 | 59.6% |
| 8 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 235 | 255 | 59.5% |
| 9 | Kirk Cousins | QB | LV | 213 | 221 | 59.2% |
| 10 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 191 | 207 | 58.5% |
| 11 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | 180 | 219 | 58.5% |
| 12 | Sam Darnold | QB | SEA | 149 | 166 | 57.0% |
| 13 | Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | 116 | 143 | 56.8% |
| 14 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | 234 | 249 | 56.6% |
| 15 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 184 | 200 | 56.6% |
| 16 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | 96 | 111 | 55.9% |
| 17 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LA | 249 | 260 | 54.8% |
| 18 | Geno Smith | QB | NYJ | 177 | 204 | 54.4% |
| 19 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 226 | 240 | 53.4% |
| 20 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 171 | 190 | 52.8% |
| 21 | Daniel Jones | QB | IND | 218 | 239 | 51.6% |
| 22 | Malik Willis | QB | MIA | 130 | 160 | 51.5% |
| 23 | Michael Penix Jr. | QB | ATL | 110 | 122 | 51.2% |
| 24 | Kyler Murray | QB | MIN | 101 | 122 | 48.5% |
| 25 | Cam Ward | QB | TEN | 177 | 199 | 48.0% |
| 26 | Deshaun Watson | QB | CLE | 174 | 220 | 47.1% |
| 27 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 171 | 200 | 46.7% |
| 28 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | 91 | 111 | 43.1% |
| 29 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | 233 | 252 | 41.8% |
| 30 | Baker Mayfield | QB | TB | 96 | 118 | 39.3% |
| 31 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 158 | 174 | 39.3% |
| 32 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | 189 | 202 | 39.1% |
| 33 | Jalon Daniels | QB | TB | 98 | 123 | 35.3% |
EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play
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What the box score cannot tell you about the people behind the pass.
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →Completion percentage over expected gives credit for difficult completions. Here is how ACE measures it.
Read Article →A sack is the rush, the line and the decision. Why our dropback stats count them.
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