Passer Rating vs EPA: Which Tells You More?
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →2025 NFL Quarterback Rankings
Ranked by EPA per Dropback. Qualified: 14 pass attempts per team game (the NFL's minimum for passing rate leaders). 2025 regular season.
2025 Leaders
EPA per Dropback
- 1Drake Maye New England Patriots+0.33
- 2Jordan Love Green Bay Packers+0.26
- 3Matthew Stafford Los Angeles Rams+0.24
- 4Brock Purdy San Francisco 49ers+0.22
- 5Josh Allen Buffalo Bills+0.19
ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation)
- 1Drake Maye New England Patriots+45.6
- 2Dak Prescott Dallas Cowboys+22.4
- 3Josh Allen Buffalo Bills+21.3
- 4Matthew Stafford Los Angeles Rams+17.5
- 5Jordan Love Green Bay Packers+17.5
NFL Passer Rating
- 1Drake Maye New England Patriots113.5
- 2Matthew Stafford Los Angeles Rams109.2
- 3Jared Goff Detroit Lions105.5
- 4Lamar Jackson Baltimore Ravens103.8
- 5Josh Allen Buffalo Bills102.2
Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt
- 1Drake Maye New England Patriots8.26
- 2Matthew Stafford Los Angeles Rams8.25
- 3Jared Goff Detroit Lions7.51
- 4Sam Darnold Seattle Seahawks7.40
- 5Jordan Love Green Bay Packers7.40
Completion %
- 1Drake Maye New England Patriots72.0%
- 2Mac Jones San Francisco 49ers69.6%
- 3Brock Purdy San Francisco 49ers69.4%
- 4Josh Allen Buffalo Bills69.3%
- 5Jared Goff Detroit Lions68.0%
Passing Yards
- 1Matthew Stafford Los Angeles Rams4,707
- 2Jared Goff Detroit Lions4,564
- 3Dak Prescott Dallas Cowboys4,552
- 4Drake Maye New England Patriots4,394
- 5Sam Darnold Seattle Seahawks4,048
Passing Touchdowns
- 1Matthew Stafford Los Angeles Rams46
- 2Jared Goff Detroit Lions34
- 3Drake Maye New England Patriots31
- 4Dak Prescott Dallas Cowboys30
- 5Trevor Lawrence Jacksonville Jaguars29
Success Rate
- 1Drake Maye New England Patriots55.2%
- 2Brock Purdy San Francisco 49ers53.4%
- 3Matthew Stafford Los Angeles Rams52.7%
- 4Sam Darnold Seattle Seahawks52.3%
- 5Mac Jones San Francisco 49ers52.3%
Game-Winning Drives
- 1Bo Nix Denver Broncos7
- 2Bryce Young Carolina Panthers6
- 3Caleb Williams Chicago Bears5
- 4Trevor Lawrence Jacksonville Jaguars5
- 5Josh Allen Buffalo Bills4
All 2025 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards
EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play
ACE Ranking
"Accuracy Compared to Expectation" = completions − expected completion chance, summed over every pass attempt
ACE is QuarterbackStats.com's rating for passers, built on the standard completion-percentage-over-expected idea (CPOE). Every throw has a chance of being caught, based on how far it travels, where it goes, the down and distance, pressure and the weather. Complete a hard throw and you earn a lot. Miss an easy one and you lose a lot. Add it up for the season.
Completed 35-yard throw, 35% chance+0.65
Missed 5-yard throw, 79% chance−0.79
2025 ACE Rankings: Quarterbacks
| # | Quarterback | Team | Cmp-Att | ACE/100 | ACE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drake Maye | NE | 354-492 | +9.3 | +45.6 |
| 2 | Dak Prescott | DAL | 404-600 | +3.7 | +22.4 |
| 3 | Josh Allen | BUF | 319-460 | +4.6 | +21.3 |
| 4 | Matthew Stafford | LA | 388-597 | +2.9 | +17.5 |
| 5 | Jordan Love | GB | 291-439 | +4.0 | +17.5 |
| 6 | Brock Purdy | SF | 197-284 | +5.4 | +15.4 |
| 7 | Sam Darnold | SEA | 323-477 | +3.1 | +14.7 |
| 8 | Jared Goff | DET | 393-578 | +2.5 | +14.2 |
| 9 | Daniel Jones | IND | 261-384 | +3.7 | +14.1 |
| 10 | Mac Jones | SF | 201-289 | +4.7 | +13.5 |
| 11 | Justin Herbert | LAC | 340-512 | +2.6 | +13.2 |
| 12 | Joe Burrow | CIN | 173-259 | +4.0 | +10.5 |
| 13 | Spencer Rattler | NO | 174-257 | +3.1 | +7.9 |
| 14 | Tyler Shough | NO | 221-327 | +2.4 | +7.9 |
| 15 | Jalen Hurts | PHI | 294-454 | +1.2 | +5.2 |
| 16 | Tua Tagovailoa | MIA | 260-384 | +1.3 | +4.9 |
| 17 | Jacoby Brissett | ARI | 315-485 | +0.6 | +2.8 |
| 18 | Jaxson Dart | NYG | 216-339 | +0.7 | +2.2 |
| 19 | Lamar Jackson | BAL | 192-302 | +0.7 | +2.1 |
| 20 | Geno Smith | LV | 302-448 | +0.3 | +1.2 |
| 21 | C.J. Stroud | HOU | 273-423 | +0.1 | +0.5 |
| 22 | Patrick Mahomes | KC | 315-502 | -0.1 | -0.3 |
| 23 | Aaron Rodgers | PIT | 327-497 | -1.0 | -5.0 |
| 24 | Kirk Cousins | ATL | 166-269 | -3.0 | -8.0 |
| 25 | Bryce Young | CAR | 304-478 | -1.7 | -8.1 |
| 26 | J.J. McCarthy | MIN | 140-243 | -3.8 | -9.4 |
| 27 | Baker Mayfield | TB | 343-543 | -2.4 | -12.8 |
| 28 | Michael Penix Jr. | ATL | 166-276 | -4.7 | -13.0 |
| 29 | Bo Nix | DEN | 388-612 | -2.3 | -14.3 |
| 30 | Trevor Lawrence | JAX | 341-560 | -2.7 | -15.0 |
| 31 | Joe Flacco | CIN | 251-416 | -4.4 | -18.3 |
| 32 | Caleb Williams | CHI | 330-568 | -4.8 | -27.0 |
| 33 | Cam Ward | TEN | 323-540 | -5.3 | -28.6 |
2025 ACE Rankings: Teams
| # | Team | Att | ACE/100 | ACE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New England Patriots | 502 | +9.3 | +46.7 |
| 2 | San Francisco 49ers | 571 | +5.0 | +28.5 |
| 3 | Buffalo Bills | 494 | +4.9 | +24.1 |
| 4 | Green Bay Packers | 488 | +4.8 | +23.3 |
| 5 | Dallas Cowboys | 621 | +3.6 | +22.7 |
| 6 | Los Angeles Rams | 594 | +2.9 | +17.5 |
| 7 | New Orleans Saints | 585 | +2.4 | +13.8 |
| 8 | Seattle Seahawks | 477 | +2.9 | +13.8 |
| 9 | Detroit Lions | 580 | +2.2 | +12.7 |
| 10 | Baltimore Ravens | 419 | +2.7 | +11.4 |
| 11 | Indianapolis Colts | 545 | +1.6 | +8.6 |
| 12 | Los Angeles Chargers | 565 | +1.3 | +7.2 |
| 13 | Miami Dolphins | 477 | +1.3 | +6.0 |
| 14 | Philadelphia Eagles | 495 | +0.7 | +3.7 |
| 15 | Arizona Cardinals | 648 | +0.3 | +2.0 |
| 16 | Cincinnati Bengals | 637 | +0.3 | +1.8 |
| 17 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 547 | -0.4 | -2.3 |
| 18 | Las Vegas Raiders | 512 | -0.7 | -3.7 |
| 19 | New York Giants | 525 | -0.8 | -4.2 |
| 20 | Washington Commanders | 463 | -1.3 | -5.9 |
| 21 | Carolina Panthers | 513 | -1.2 | -6.0 |
| 22 | Kansas City Chiefs | 581 | -1.1 | -6.2 |
| 23 | Minnesota Vikings | 483 | -2.1 | -10.1 |
| 24 | Houston Texans | 579 | -1.8 | -10.4 |
| 25 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 560 | -2.5 | -14.0 |
| 26 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 557 | -2.6 | -14.6 |
| 27 | Denver Broncos | 612 | -2.4 | -15.0 |
| 28 | New York Jets | 491 | -4.2 | -20.5 |
| 29 | Atlanta Falcons | 542 | -3.9 | -21.0 |
| 30 | Chicago Bears | 572 | -4.7 | -26.8 |
| 31 | Tennessee Titans | 567 | -5.7 | -32.1 |
| 32 | Cleveland Browns | 556 | -6.6 | -36.6 |
Quarterback Rankings, All Qualified Quarterbacks
| Rk | Player | Team | GS | Cmp-Att | Yds | TD | INT | Rate | ANY/A | ACE | EPA/DB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drake Maye | NE | 17 | 354-492 | 4,394 | 31 | 8 | 113.5 | 8.26 | +45.6 | +0.33 |
| 2 | Jordan Love | GB | 15 | 291-439 | 3,381 | 23 | 6 | 101.2 | 7.40 | +17.5 | +0.26 |
| 3 | Matthew Stafford | LA | 17 | 388-597 | 4,707 | 46 | 8 | 109.2 | 8.25 | +17.5 | +0.24 |
| 4 | Brock Purdy | SF | 9 | 197-284 | 2,167 | 20 | 10 | 100.5 | 7.00 | +15.4 | +0.22 |
| 5 | Josh Allen | BUF | 16 | 319-460 | 3,668 | 25 | 10 | 102.2 | 6.84 | +21.3 | +0.19 |
| 6 | Dak Prescott | DAL | 17 | 404-600 | 4,552 | 30 | 10 | 99.5 | 7.12 | +22.4 | +0.18 |
| 7 | Daniel Jones | IND | 13 | 261-384 | 3,101 | 19 | 8 | 100.2 | 7.30 | +14.1 | +0.18 |
| 8 | Jared Goff | DET | 17 | 393-578 | 4,564 | 34 | 8 | 105.5 | 7.51 | +14.2 | +0.18 |
| 9 | Patrick Mahomes | KC | 14 | 315-502 | 3,587 | 22 | 11 | 89.6 | 6.23 | -0.3 | +0.17 |
| 10 | Sam Darnold | SEA | 17 | 323-477 | 4,048 | 25 | 14 | 99.1 | 7.40 | +14.7 | +0.15 |
| 11 | Mac Jones | SF | 8 | 201-289 | 2,151 | 13 | 6 | 97.4 | 6.67 | +13.5 | +0.15 |
| 12 | C.J. Stroud | HOU | 14 | 273-423 | 3,041 | 19 | 8 | 92.9 | 6.44 | +0.5 | +0.14 |
| 13 | Joe Burrow | CIN | 8 | 173-259 | 1,809 | 17 | 5 | 100.7 | 6.56 | +10.5 | +0.12 |
| 14 | Bo Nix | DEN | 17 | 388-612 | 3,931 | 25 | 11 | 87.8 | 6.02 | -14.3 | +0.12 |
| 15 | Caleb Williams | CHI | 17 | 330-568 | 3,942 | 27 | 7 | 90.1 | 6.76 | -27.0 | +0.11 |
| 16 | Jalen Hurts | PHI | 16 | 294-454 | 3,224 | 25 | 6 | 98.5 | 6.73 | +5.2 | +0.10 |
| 17 | Lamar Jackson | BAL | 13 | 192-302 | 2,549 | 21 | 7 | 103.8 | 7.14 | +2.1 | +0.09 |
| 18 | Trevor Lawrence | JAX | 17 | 341-560 | 4,007 | 29 | 12 | 91.0 | 6.32 | -15.0 | +0.09 |
| 19 | Jaxson Dart | NYG | 12 | 216-339 | 2,272 | 15 | 5 | 91.7 | 5.87 | +2.2 | +0.08 |
| 20 | Justin Herbert | LAC | 16 | 340-512 | 3,727 | 26 | 13 | 94.1 | 5.94 | +13.2 | +0.07 |
| 21 | Baker Mayfield | TB | 17 | 343-543 | 3,693 | 26 | 11 | 90.6 | 6.02 | -12.8 | +0.07 |
| 22 | Aaron Rodgers | PIT | 16 | 327-497 | 3,322 | 24 | 7 | 95.0 | 6.29 | -5.0 | +0.06 |
| 23 | Michael Penix Jr. | ATL | 9 | 166-276 | 1,982 | 9 | 3 | 88.5 | 6.66 | -13.0 | +0.05 |
| 24 | Tyler Shough | NO | 9 | 221-327 | 2,384 | 10 | 6 | 91.3 | 5.92 | +7.9 | +0.04 |
| 25 | Tua Tagovailoa | MIA | 14 | 260-384 | 2,660 | 20 | 15 | 88.5 | 5.29 | +4.9 | +0.03 |
| 26 | Jacoby Brissett | ARI | 12 | 315-485 | 3,366 | 23 | 8 | 94.1 | 6.02 | +2.8 | +0.01 |
| 27 | Kirk Cousins | ATL | 8 | 166-269 | 1,721 | 10 | 5 | 84.8 | 5.73 | -8.0 | -0.00 |
| 28 | Bryce Young | CAR | 17 | 304-478 | 3,011 | 23 | 11 | 87.8 | 5.49 | -8.1 | -0.01 |
| 29 | Spencer Rattler | NO | 8 | 174-257 | 1,586 | 8 | 5 | 86.5 | 5.15 | +7.9 | -0.05 |
| 30 | Joe Flacco | CIN | 10 | 251-416 | 2,479 | 15 | 10 | 79.2 | 5.09 | -18.3 | -0.09 |
| 31 | Geno Smith | LV | 15 | 302-448 | 3,025 | 19 | 17 | 84.7 | 4.44 | +1.2 | -0.13 |
| 32 | J.J. McCarthy | MIN | 10 | 140-243 | 1,632 | 11 | 12 | 72.6 | 4.31 | -9.4 | -0.15 |
| 33 | Cam Ward | TEN | 17 | 323-540 | 3,169 | 15 | 7 | 80.2 | 4.61 | -28.6 | -0.16 |
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