2025 College Catch Rate Over Expected Leaders

2025 is a partial season for depth and direction: the play-by-play started recording where passes went in Week 9.

Catch rate minus the expected catch rate on the same targets, from the ACE completion model. It credits receivers who catch hard balls.

The 2025 leaders: Taz Reddicks (36.6%), Aaron Anderson (31.1%), Jaquari Lewis (26.4%).

Catch Rate Over Expected

Minimum to rank: 1.875 receptions per team game (the NFL's rate; the NCAA ranks receivers per game with no reception minimum). 453 players.

Rk	Player	Pos	Team	Tgt	Rec	CROE
1	Taz Reddicks	WR	ORST	53	30	36.6%
2	Aaron Anderson	WR	LSU	47	33	31.1%
3	Jaquari Lewis	RB	APP	35	27	26.4%
4	Jeremiah Smith	WR	OSU	107	80	25.8%
5	LJ Martin	RB	BYU	40	36	25.8%
6	Dontae McMillan	RB	EMU	43	33	25.7%
7	Eugene Wilson III	WR	FLA	35	27	25.5%
8	Zavion Thomas	WR	LSU	35	40	25.5%
9	Malik Rutherford	WR	GT	48	38	24.9%
10	Izayah Cummings	TE	APP	44	37	24.9%
11	Dalen Cobb	WR	GASO	81	52	24.8%
12	Riley Nowakowski	TE	IU	37	25	24.4%
13	Javen Jacobs	RB	USU	50	38	24.3%
14	Tre Williams III	TE	UNT	43	29	21.9%
15	Richie Hoskins	WR	VAN	34	26	21.8%
16	Tyler Fortenberry	TE	ARST	42	31	20.4%
17	Ja'Carree Kelly	WR	DEL	40	29	19.9%
18	Landon Sims	RB	HAW	44	34	19.4%
19	Jeremiah Hasley	TE	DUKE	50	34	19.4%
20	DJ Rogers	TE	TCU	40	32	19.4%
21	Jack Velling	TE	MSU	45	36	19.4%
22	Kadarius Calloway	RB	NMSU	31	26	18.9%
23	Aaron Turner	WR	RICE	71	53	18.6%
24	Nate Sheppard	RB	DUKE	44	35	18.3%
25	Jett Carpenter	TE	NEV	44	35	18.3%
26	Mike Washington Jr.	RB	ARK	41	28	18.1%
27	Lincoln Pare	RB	TXST	39	36	18.1%
28	Hollywood Smothers	RB	NCSU	42	37	17.8%
29	Reymello Murphy	WR	CONN	52	32	17.5%
30	Gavin Freeman	WR	OKST	65	53	17.5%
31	Jeremiyah Love	RB	ND	33	27	17.3%
32	Troy Omeire	WR	UNLV	38	31	17.1%
33	JoJo Bermudez	WR	TEM	55	39	17.0%
34	Rayshon Luke	RB	FRES	38	36	16.9%
35	Kenyon Clay	RB	ARST	39	36	16.8%
36	Joseph Manjack IV	WR	TCU	62	41	16.7%
37	Kenny Fletcher Jr.	TE	RUTG	38	26	16.6%
38	Justin Joly	TE	NCSU	65	47	16.6%
39	Jonah Coleman	RB	WASH	36	30	16.6%
40	Zachariah Branch	WR	UGA	99	73	16.5%
41	Tay Lanier	WR	CSU	45	35	16.4%
42	Caleb Hawkins	RB	UNT	38	29	16.4%
43	Kendrick Raphael	RB	CAL	44	31	16.1%
44	Jaren Kanak	TE	OU	54	40	16.1%
45	Miles Davis	RB	USU	29	25	15.5%
46	K.D. Hutchinson	WR	WKU	78	61	15.5%
47	Kendrick Law	WR	UK	61	53	15.4%
48	Cade Harris	WR	AF	52	35	15.3%
49	Bryce Caufield	TE	ORST	39	29	15.1%
50	David Amador II	WR	UTSA	55	45	15.0%
51	Dean Connors	RB	HOU	37	31	14.6%
52	Dallas Payne	TE	FIU	35	25	14.4%
53	Charlie Becker	WR	IU	46	26	14.3%
54	Houston Thomas	TE	UTSA	46	34	14.1%
55	Anthony Eager	WR	USA	59	40	14.1%
56	Duane Thomas Jr.	WR	UCF	72	53	13.9%
57	Jmariyae Robinson	WR	MOST	62	40	13.7%
58	Eli Finley	TE	LT	46	37	13.7%
59	Greg Desrosiers Jr.	RB	MEM	38	32	13.5%
60	Antonio Williams	WR	CLEM	73	55	13.4%
61	Lawayne McCoy	WR	FSU	37	27	13.0%
62	Mason Mini	TE	CAL	50	35	13.0%
63	KJ Duff	WR	RUTG	95	60	13.0%
64	Gemari Sands	RB	FAU	44	40	12.9%
65	Keshaun Singleton	WR	USF	72	50	12.8%
66	Yamir Knight	WR	SMU	70	47	12.6%
67	Jeremiah McClellan	WR	ORE	52	25	12.2%
68	Hank Beatty	WR	ILL	89	64	12.0%
69	Josh Cuevas	TE	ALA	53	30	11.8%
70	Chamon Metayer	TE	ASU	49	38	11.7%
71	Ramone Green Jr.	RB	MOST	38	26	11.7%
72	Emmett Johnson	RB	NEB	61	46	11.7%
73	E.J. Williams Jr.	WR	IU	49	34	11.7%
74	Eli Stowers	TE	VAN	82	61	11.5%
75	Jai'Den Thomas	RB	UNLV	48	35	11.3%
76	Coleman Bennett	RB	KENN	34	26	11.3%
77	Malik Sherrod	RB	BOIS	33	26	11.3%
78	Jordan Shipp	WR	UNC	79	60	11.2%
79	Rodney Fields Jr.	RB	OKST	36	28	11.2%
80	J. Michael Sturdivant	WR	FLA	46	27	11.2%
81	Adrian Norton	WR	MRSH	43	28	11.2%
82	Nik McMillan	WR	BUF	95	61	11.2%
83	De'Zhaun Stribling	WR	MISS	74	38	11.1%
84	Jadan Baugh	RB	FLA	41	33	11.0%
85	Damon Bankston	RB	UNM	31	26	10.9%
86	Zion Booker	WR	TLSA	64	46	10.9%
87	Easton Messer	WR	FAU	118	100	10.8%
88	Clay Thevenin	RB	LT	36	29	10.7%
89	Chris Dawn Jr.	WR	TXST	93	54	10.7%
90	Trebor Pena	WR	PSU	61	44	10.6%
91	Tanner Koziol	TE	HOU	89	65	10.6%
92	Dae'Quan Wright	TE	MISS	57	30	10.4%
93	Kobe Prentice	WR	BAY	32	26	10.3%
94	Malik Benson	WR	ORE	58	31	10.3%
95	Terrance Carter Jr.	TE	TTU	73	46	10.2%
96	Tommy McIntosh	WR	CMU	44	27	10.1%
97	Carsen Ryan	TE	BYU	57	37	10.1%
98	Decker DeGraaf	TE	WASH	40	31	10.0%
99	Mudia Reuben	WR	USF	45	36	9.9%
100	E. Jai Mason	WR	CLT	44	31	9.9%