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2025 College Expected Completion % Leaders

2025 is a partial season for depth and direction: the play-by-play started recording where passes went in Week 9.

The completion percentage an average passer would have had on these exact throws. Low numbers mean a quarterback is attempting hard, deep or contested passes.

How to read it. Read it next to completion %. A high completion % with a low expected one is the sign of real accuracy.

The 2025 leaders: E.J. Warner (71.3%), Maverick McIvor (70.2%), Bishop Davenport (68.4%).

Expected Completion %

Minimum to rank: 15 pass attempts per team game (the NCAA's minimum for passing efficiency). 120 players.

RkPlayerPosTeamAttDropbacksxCmp%
1E.J. WarnerQBFRES25528471.3%
2Maverick McIvorQBWKU25427970.2%
3Bishop DavenportQBUSA29431168.4%
4Jackson ArnoldQBAUB21524168.0%
5Garrett NussmeierQBLSU28830067.8%
6Kaden AndersonQBWYO33636067.6%
7Kaidon SalterQBCOLO20422067.3%
8Caden VeltkampQBFAU51451167.1%
9Dante MooreQBORE31341667.1%
10Maalik MurphyQBORST27628766.9%
11Carson BeckQBMIA35347366.9%
12Tad HudsonQBCCU20526066.5%
13Brad JacksonQBTXST32837966.4%
14Logan FifeQBNMSU36140466.2%
15Jacob ClarkQBMOST34142466.2%
16Katin HouserQBECU40841466.2%
17Joey AguilarQBTENN38641466.2%
18Josh HooverQBTCU41342265.8%
19Owen McCownQBUTSA38140065.7%
20Marcel ReedQBTA&M33838165.6%
21Drew MestemakerQBUNT41846965.5%
22Trinidad ChamblissQBMISS33345665.2%
23Sawyer RobertsonQBBAY50351664.9%
24Jaron-Keawe SagapoluteleQBCAL45252364.9%
25Jake RetzlaffQBTULN35639964.9%
26Gunner StocktonQBUGA35540164.9%
27Conner WeigmanQBHOU31937064.8%
28Bear BachmeierQBBYU34939564.8%
29Nico IamaleavaQBUCLA32334364.7%
30Aidan ChilesQBMSU20321964.7%
31Jaylen RaynorQBARST46953564.7%
32Joe FagnanoQBCONN41241264.6%
33Cutter BoleyQBUK30131764.5%
34Ryan BrowneQBPUR33834664.5%
35Malik WashingtonQBMD47346964.5%
36John MateerQBOU35641664.5%
37Behren MortonQBTTU30134164.4%
38Arch ManningQBTEX37041864.4%
39Ben GulbransonQBSTAN26027464.4%
40Jack LayneQBUNM30234564.4%
41Ethan VaskoQBLIB26626664.2%
42JC French IVQBGASO36541464.2%
43Miller MossQBLOU35639864.2%
44Micah AlejadoQBHAW38443364.1%
45Julian SayinQBOSU35640164.0%
46Dylan LonerganQBBC28429664.0%
47Drake LindseyQBMINN36139663.9%
48TJ FinleyQBGAST20119263.9%
49Bryce UnderwoodQBMICH29335263.8%
50Zane FloresQBOKST26228163.8%
51Amari OdomQBKENN25629963.7%
52Kevin JenningsQBSMU42246263.5%
53Dylan RaiolaQBNEB25027663.5%
54Brendon LewisQBMEM34340063.4%
55Nicholas VattiatoQBMTSU35736863.3%
56Preston StoneQBNU33937863.2%
57Byrum BrownQBUSF34135063.0%
58Diego PaviaQBVAN34038463.0%
59Brendan SorsbyQBCIN33534063.0%
60Avery JohnsonQBKSU34134862.9%
61Keyone JenkinsQBFIU24927462.8%
62Haynes KingQBGT32136762.7%
63Ben FinleyQBAKR36237862.7%
64Noah FifitaQBARIZ38644762.7%
65Colton JosephQBODU28829962.7%
66Ty SimpsonQBALA42849662.4%
67Demond Williams Jr.QBWASH33036662.4%
68LaNorris SellersQBSC29332362.4%
69Kiael KellyQBBALL27231162.3%
70Athan KaliakmanisQBRUTG36841062.3%
71JJ KohlQBAPP21622162.1%
72Devon DampierQBUTAH30334562.1%
73Robby AshfordQBWAKE28932362.0%
74Tucker KilcreaseQBTROY19924862.0%
75Grayson LoftisQBCLT23225261.9%
76Ta'Quan RobersonQBBUF35637661.8%
77CJ BaileyQBNCSU37240961.8%
78Tayven JacksonQBUCF31532361.7%
79Blake ShapenQBMSST30432661.6%
80Fernando MendozaQBIU31639861.6%
81Jayden MaiavaQBUSC37339961.6%
82Luke AltmyerQBILL33239061.5%
83Carlos Del Rio-WilsonQBMRSH25626261.3%
84Maddux MadsenQBBOIS28631261.3%
85Aidan ArmentaQBULM25226261.2%
86Jackson BrousseauQBCSU20122161.2%
87AJ SwannQBAPP22222861.2%
88Bryson BarnesQBUSU33539261.1%
89Anthony ColandreaQBUNLV38742761.0%
90CJ CarrQBND29330160.9%
91Cade KlubnikQBCLEM35339860.9%
92Rocco BechtQBISU33735160.9%
93Tucker GleasonQBTOL32032160.8%
94Jalen KitnaQBUAB33733660.6%
95Chandler MorrisQBUVA39844160.6%
96Jalon DanielsQBKU31932860.5%
97Evan SimonQBTEM31430960.4%
98Braylon BraxtonQBUSM35340360.4%
99Sam LeavittQBASU23925360.3%
100Broc LowryQBWMU24327360.2%

More 2025 College Quarterback Leaderboards

EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Quarterback Rushing Yards Excluding Sacks NCAA Passing Efficiency QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing)

Other seasons: 2026 · 2025

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