Passer Rating vs EPA: Which Tells You More?
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →2025 NFL First-Down Rate per Dropback Leaders
The share of dropbacks that produced a first down or touchdown, including scrambles.
The 2025 leaders: Brock Purdy (43.5%), Drake Maye (38.3%), Matthew Stafford (37.8%).
First-Down Rate per Dropback
Minimum to rank: 14 pass attempts per team game (the NFL's minimum for passing rate leaders). 33 players.
| Rk | Player | Pos | Team | Att | Dropbacks | 1D% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brock Purdy | QB | SF | 284 | 313 | 43.5% |
| 2 | Drake Maye | QB | NE | 492 | 601 | 38.3% |
| 3 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LA | 597 | 624 | 37.8% |
| 4 | Daniel Jones | QB | IND | 384 | 426 | 36.9% |
| 5 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 578 | 619 | 36.3% |
| 6 | Sam Darnold | QB | SEA | 477 | 514 | 35.8% |
| 7 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 460 | 547 | 35.5% |
| 8 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 259 | 284 | 35.2% |
| 9 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 600 | 654 | 35.2% |
| 10 | Jordan Love | QB | GB | 439 | 483 | 35.0% |
| 11 | Mac Jones | QB | SF | 289 | 310 | 34.8% |
| 12 | Michael Penix Jr. | QB | ATL | 276 | 302 | 34.4% |
| 13 | Tua Tagovailoa | QB | MIA | 384 | 423 | 33.8% |
| 14 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 502 | 586 | 33.8% |
| 15 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | 302 | 366 | 33.3% |
| 16 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 560 | 641 | 33.2% |
| 17 | Caleb Williams | QB | CHI | 568 | 633 | 32.9% |
| 18 | Baker Mayfield | QB | TB | 543 | 620 | 31.8% |
| 19 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | 512 | 615 | 31.7% |
| 20 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | ARI | 485 | 549 | 31.5% |
| 21 | Jalen Hurts | QB | PHI | 454 | 524 | 31.5% |
| 22 | Bryce Young | QB | CAR | 478 | 536 | 31.3% |
| 23 | C.J. Stroud | QB | HOU | 423 | 468 | 31.0% |
| 24 | Kirk Cousins | QB | ATL | 269 | 281 | 31.0% |
| 25 | Bo Nix | QB | DEN | 612 | 669 | 30.9% |
| 26 | J.J. McCarthy | QB | MIN | 243 | 287 | 30.7% |
| 27 | Tyler Shough | QB | NO | 327 | 375 | 30.1% |
| 28 | Jaxson Dart | QB | NYG | 339 | 411 | 29.7% |
| 29 | Geno Smith | QB | LV | 448 | 519 | 29.7% |
| 30 | Spencer Rattler | QB | NO | 257 | 288 | 28.8% |
| 31 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | PIT | 497 | 536 | 27.4% |
| 32 | Joe Flacco | QB | CIN | 416 | 434 | 27.2% |
| 33 | Cam Ward | QB | TEN | 540 | 615 | 26.3% |
More 2025 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards
EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play
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QBS BLOG · PASSING QUESTIONS · MINDSET
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What the box score cannot tell you about the people behind the pass.
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Completion percentage over expected gives credit for difficult completions. Here is how ACE measures it.
Read Article →Why Sacks Belong Partly to the Quarterback
A sack is the rush, the line and the decision. Why our dropback stats count them.
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