Passer Rating vs EPA: Which Tells You More?
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →2019 NFL ACE per 100 Attempts Leaders
ACE per 100 attempts: completions above expected for every hundred throws. It is the fair way to compare a starter who threw 600 times with one who threw 300.
How to read it. +3.0 is excellent; 0 is average; −3.0 is well below.
The 2019 leaders: Ryan Tannehill (+8.9), Drew Brees (+7.7), Russell Wilson (+5.8).
ACE per 100 Attempts
Minimum to rank: 14 pass attempts per team game (the NFL's minimum for passing rate leaders). 32 players.
| Rk | Player | Pos | Team | Att | Dropbacks | ACE/100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Tannehill | QB | TEN | 286 | 329 | +8.9 |
| 2 | Drew Brees | QB | NO | 378 | 385 | +7.7 |
| 3 | Russell Wilson | QB | SEA | 516 | 606 | +5.8 |
| 4 | Derek Carr | QB | LV | 513 | 554 | +4.2 |
| 5 | Jimmy Garoppolo | QB | SF | 476 | 522 | +3.8 |
| 6 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | 401 | 459 | +3.6 |
| 7 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 484 | 524 | +3.5 |
| 8 | Philip Rivers | QB | LAC | 591 | 628 | +3.4 |
| 9 | Deshaun Watson | QB | HOU | 495 | 580 | +3.3 |
| 10 | Kirk Cousins | QB | MIN | 444 | 481 | +3.1 |
| 11 | Matthew Stafford | QB | DET | 291 | 316 | +3.0 |
| 12 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 596 | 638 | +2.3 |
| 13 | Matt Ryan | QB | ATL | 616 | 685 | +1.9 |
| 14 | Ryan Fitzpatrick | QB | MIA | 502 | 574 | +1.4 |
| 15 | Carson Wentz | QB | PHI | 607 | 671 | +1.1 |
| 16 | Sam Darnold | QB | NYJ | 441 | 481 | +0.2 |
| 17 | Jameis Winston | QB | TB | 626 | 704 | +0.1 |
| 18 | Joe Flacco | QB | DEN | 262 | 292 | -0.1 |
| 19 | Case Keenum | QB | WAS | 247 | 263 | -0.1 |
| 20 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | GB | 569 | 630 | -0.6 |
| 21 | Daniel Jones | QB | NYG | 459 | 524 | -0.7 |
| 22 | Jared Goff | QB | LA | 626 | 657 | -1.1 |
| 23 | Mitchell Trubisky | QB | CHI | 516 | 573 | -1.2 |
| 24 | Kyle Allen | QB | CAR | 489 | 553 | -1.5 |
| 25 | Mason Rudolph | QB | PIT | 283 | 308 | -1.9 |
| 26 | Kyler Murray | QB | ARI | 542 | 614 | -1.9 |
| 27 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 461 | 540 | -2.0 |
| 28 | Tom Brady | QB | NE | 613 | 643 | -2.4 |
| 29 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | IND | 447 | 503 | -3.0 |
| 30 | Andy Dalton | QB | CIN | 528 | 568 | -3.1 |
| 31 | Baker Mayfield | QB | CLE | 534 | 589 | -3.8 |
| 32 | Gardner Minshew | QB | JAX | 470 | 552 | -4.5 |
More 2019 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards
EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play
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QBS BLOG · PASSING QUESTIONS · MINDSET
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