Passer Rating vs EPA: Which Tells You More?
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →2019 NFL Clutch Passer Rating Leaders
Passer rating in the 4th quarter or overtime with the score within 8.
The 2019 leaders: Deshaun Watson (129.6), Matt Ryan (118.9), Matthew Stafford (112.3).
Clutch Passer Rating
Minimum to rank: cl att >= 3 × team games. 24 players.
| Rk | Player | Pos | Team | Att | Dropbacks | Clutch Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deshaun Watson | QB | HOU | 495 | 580 | 129.6 |
| 2 | Matt Ryan | QB | ATL | 616 | 685 | 118.9 |
| 3 | Matthew Stafford | QB | DET | 291 | 316 | 112.3 |
| 4 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 461 | 540 | 109.0 |
| 5 | Jimmy Garoppolo | QB | SF | 476 | 522 | 108.9 |
| 6 | Derek Carr | QB | LV | 513 | 554 | 104.6 |
| 7 | Russell Wilson | QB | SEA | 516 | 606 | 104.4 |
| 8 | Gardner Minshew | QB | JAX | 470 | 552 | 94.7 |
| 9 | Carson Wentz | QB | PHI | 607 | 671 | 91.6 |
| 10 | Ryan Fitzpatrick | QB | MIA | 502 | 574 | 90.8 |
| 11 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 596 | 638 | 89.4 |
| 12 | Andy Dalton | QB | CIN | 528 | 568 | 86.7 |
| 13 | Kyle Allen | QB | CAR | 489 | 553 | 84.3 |
| 14 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | GB | 569 | 630 | 82.9 |
| 15 | Tom Brady | QB | NE | 613 | 643 | 78.8 |
| 16 | Sam Darnold | QB | NYJ | 441 | 481 | 76.1 |
| 17 | Jared Goff | QB | LA | 626 | 657 | 74.5 |
| 18 | Daniel Jones | QB | NYG | 459 | 524 | 72.3 |
| 19 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | IND | 447 | 503 | 68.5 |
| 20 | Kyler Murray | QB | ARI | 542 | 614 | 67.8 |
| 21 | Mitchell Trubisky | QB | CHI | 516 | 573 | 62.0 |
| 22 | Philip Rivers | QB | LAC | 591 | 628 | 60.8 |
| 23 | Baker Mayfield | QB | CLE | 534 | 589 | 60.5 |
| 24 | Jameis Winston | QB | TB | 626 | 704 | 59.3 |
More 2019 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards
EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play
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QBS BLOG · PASSING QUESTIONS · MINDSET
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Completion percentage over expected gives credit for difficult completions. Here is how ACE measures it.
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