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2018 NFL Win Probability Added Leaders

How much the quarterback's dropbacks moved his team's chance of winning, added up over the season. Late, close plays count the most.

The 2018 leaders: Ben Roethlisberger (+4.87), Patrick Mahomes (+4.81), Drew Brees (+3.55).

Win Probability Added

Counting stat: every player above zero is listed. 66 players.

RkPlayerPosTeamAttDropbacksWPA
1Ben RoethlisbergerQBPIT675708+4.87
2Patrick MahomesQBKC580633+4.81
3Drew BreesQBNO489510+3.55
4Jared GoffQBLA561612+3.35
5Dak PrescottQBDAL526611+2.86
6Tom BradyQBNE570594+2.86
7Deshaun WatsonQBHOU505619+2.84
8Matt RyanQBATL608666+2.65
9Andrew LuckQBIND639676+2.64
10Russell WilsonQBSEA427499+2.42
11Aaron RodgersQBGB597677+2.08
12Philip RiversQBLAC508545+1.88
13Andy DaltonQBCIN365395+1.87
14Derek CarrQBLV553605+1.62
15Mitchell TrubiskyQBCHI434493+1.55
16Marcus MariotaQBTEN331407+1.48
17Jameis WinstonQBTB378440+1.44
18Kirk CousinsQBMIN606660+1.10
19Carson WentzQBPHI401446+0.99
20Ryan FitzpatrickQBTB246283+0.90
21Nick FolesQBPHI195204+0.80
22Matthew StaffordQBDET555607+0.47
23Brock OsweilerQBMIA178198+0.37
24Kyle AllenQBCAR3134+0.33
25Nick MullensQBSF274288+0.32
26Baker MayfieldQBCLE486525+0.32
27Joe FlaccoQBBAL379396+0.30
28Cam NewtonQBCAR471523+0.29
29Nathan PetermanQBBUF8196+0.25
30Matt BarkleyQBBUF2526+0.18
31Taysom HillQBNO710+0.14
32Mike GlennonQBARI2122+0.00
33Kyle LaulettaQBNYG55-0.00
34Brian HoyerQBNE22-0.00
35Matt SchaubQBATL77-0.00
36Matt CasselQBDET1719-0.02
37Nate SudfeldQBPHI22-0.02
38Geno SmithQBLAC46-0.03
39Teddy BridgewaterQBNO2328-0.03
40Josh JohnsonQBWAS91113-0.03
41Jimmy GaroppoloQBSF89107-0.05
42Jacoby BrissettQBIND44-0.06
43Lamar JacksonQBBAL170203-0.09
44Joshua DobbsQBPIT1214-0.09
45Alex SmithQBWAS328369-0.13
46DeShone KizerQBGB4249-0.16
47Robert Griffin IIIQBBAL66-0.17
48Blaine GabbertQBTEN101106-0.19
49Case KeenumQBDEN586630-0.21
50Colt McCoyQBWAS5465-0.23
51Chase DanielQBCHI7687-0.29
52Sam BradfordQBARI8087-0.30
53Taylor HeinickeQBCAR5760-0.36
54Sam DarnoldQBNYJ414458-0.46
55Josh McCownQBNYJ110121-0.46
56Ryan TannehillQBMIA274315-0.47
57Derek AndersonQBBUF7075-0.49
58Eli ManningQBNYG576626-0.52
59Mark SanchezQBWAS3543-0.58
60Josh AllenQBBUF319394-0.59
61Cody KesslerQBJAX131168-0.76
62Tyrod TaylorQBCLE85107-0.78
63Jeff DriskelQBCIN176203-0.99
64C.J. BeathardQBSF169198-1.06
65Blake BortlesQBJAX403473-1.27
66Josh RosenQBARI393451-2.60

More 2018 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards

EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play

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