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2018 NFL EPA per Dropback Leaders

Expected points added per dropback. Every play changes how many points a team can expect to score from where it stands; EPA is that change. Dropbacks are pass attempts, sacks and scrambles, so a sack counts against the quarterback and a scramble for a first down counts for him. Spikes and kneel-downs are left out.

How to read it. 0.00 is about average. +0.20 is very good; +0.30 is a top-three season. Below −0.10 is a struggle.

The 2018 leaders: Patrick Mahomes (+0.38), Drew Brees (+0.32), Philip Rivers (+0.25).

EPA per Dropback

Minimum to rank: 14 pass attempts per team game (the NFL's minimum for passing rate leaders). 33 players.

RkPlayerPosTeamAttDropbacksEPA/DB
1Patrick MahomesQBKC580633+0.38
2Drew BreesQBNO489510+0.32
3Philip RiversQBLAC508545+0.25
4Ryan FitzpatrickQBTB246283+0.22
5Ben RoethlisbergerQBPIT675708+0.22
6Matt RyanQBATL608666+0.21
7Jared GoffQBLA561612+0.20
8Andrew LuckQBIND639676+0.18
9Russell WilsonQBSEA427499+0.17
10Tom BradyQBNE570594+0.17
11Mitchell TrubiskyQBCHI434493+0.16
12Jameis WinstonQBTB378440+0.15
13Deshaun WatsonQBHOU505619+0.14
14Aaron RodgersQBGB597677+0.12
15Nick MullensQBSF274288+0.11
16Baker MayfieldQBCLE486525+0.09
17Carson WentzQBPHI401446+0.09
18Andy DaltonQBCIN365395+0.08
19Cam NewtonQBCAR471523+0.08
20Marcus MariotaQBTEN331407+0.07
21Dak PrescottQBDAL526611+0.06
22Joe FlaccoQBBAL379396+0.05
23Eli ManningQBNYG576626+0.04
24Matthew StaffordQBDET555607+0.01
25Derek CarrQBLV553605+0.00
26Alex SmithQBWAS328369+0.00
27Josh AllenQBBUF319394-0.01
28Case KeenumQBDEN586630-0.01
29Sam DarnoldQBNYJ414458-0.01
30Blake BortlesQBJAX403473-0.02
31Kirk CousinsQBMIN606660-0.02
32Ryan TannehillQBMIA274315-0.16
33Josh RosenQBARI393451-0.32

More 2018 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards

ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play

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