Passer Rating vs EPA: Which Tells You More?
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →2017 NFL Win Probability Added Leaders
How much the quarterback's dropbacks moved his team's chance of winning, added up over the season. Late, close plays count the most.
The 2017 leaders: Tom Brady (+3.75), Alex Smith (+2.94), Philip Rivers (+2.65).
Win Probability Added
Counting stat: every player above zero is listed. 68 players.
| Rk | Player | Pos | Team | Att | Dropbacks | WPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom Brady | QB | NE | 581 | 622 | +3.75 |
| 2 | Alex Smith | QB | KC | 505 | 572 | +2.94 |
| 3 | Philip Rivers | QB | LAC | 575 | 593 | +2.65 |
| 4 | Ben Roethlisberger | QB | PIT | 562 | 589 | +2.63 |
| 5 | Case Keenum | QB | MIN | 481 | 522 | +2.31 |
| 6 | Carson Wentz | QB | PHI | 440 | 498 | +2.26 |
| 7 | Matt Ryan | QB | ATL | 529 | 567 | +1.98 |
| 8 | Jimmy Garoppolo | QB | SF | 178 | 188 | +1.87 |
| 9 | Drew Brees | QB | NO | 536 | 558 | +1.82 |
| 10 | Jameis Winston | QB | TB | 442 | 495 | +1.75 |
| 11 | Russell Wilson | QB | SEA | 553 | 645 | +1.56 |
| 12 | Deshaun Watson | QB | HOU | 204 | 240 | +1.42 |
| 13 | Kirk Cousins | QB | WAS | 540 | 604 | +1.39 |
| 14 | Matthew Stafford | QB | DET | 565 | 629 | +1.38 |
| 15 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | GB | 238 | 275 | +1.20 |
| 16 | Tyrod Taylor | QB | BUF | 420 | 506 | +0.98 |
| 17 | Jared Goff | QB | LA | 477 | 510 | +0.78 |
| 18 | Cam Newton | QB | CAR | 492 | 556 | +0.77 |
| 19 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 35 | 39 | +0.49 |
| 20 | Derek Carr | QB | LV | 515 | 544 | +0.43 |
| 21 | Matt Moore | QB | MIA | 127 | 140 | +0.37 |
| 22 | Sam Bradford | QB | MIN | 43 | 48 | +0.21 |
| 23 | Carson Palmer | QB | ARI | 267 | 290 | +0.11 |
| 24 | Ryan Fitzpatrick | QB | TB | 163 | 180 | +0.07 |
| 25 | Paxton Lynch | QB | DEN | 45 | 58 | +0.05 |
| 26 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 490 | 552 | +0.04 |
| 27 | Marcus Mariota | QB | TEN | 453 | 501 | +0.03 |
| 28 | Drew Stanton | QB | ARI | 159 | 167 | +0.02 |
| 29 | AJ McCarron | QB | CIN | 14 | 15 | +0.00 |
| 30 | Joe Callahan | QB | GB | 7 | 7 | -0.00 |
| 31 | Kellen Clemens | QB | LAC | 8 | 8 | -0.00 |
| 32 | Jake Rudock | QB | DET | 5 | 5 | -0.00 |
| 33 | Taylor Heinicke | QB | HOU | 1 | 3 | -0.02 |
| 34 | Ryan Mallett | QB | BAL | 16 | 16 | -0.02 |
| 35 | Tyler Bray | QB | KC | 1 | 1 | -0.04 |
| 36 | Derek Anderson | QB | CAR | 8 | 8 | -0.04 |
| 37 | Landry Jones | QB | PIT | 28 | 31 | -0.08 |
| 38 | Joe Webb | QB | BUF | 7 | 7 | -0.17 |
| 39 | Andy Dalton | QB | CIN | 496 | 545 | -0.17 |
| 40 | Josh McCown | QB | NYJ | 397 | 445 | -0.25 |
| 41 | Scott Tolzien | QB | IND | 18 | 23 | -0.26 |
| 42 | Kevin Hogan | QB | CLE | 75 | 86 | -0.28 |
| 43 | Brock Osweiler | QB | DEN | 172 | 190 | -0.30 |
| 44 | Sean Mannion | QB | LA | 37 | 40 | -0.31 |
| 45 | Nathan Peterman | QB | BUF | 48 | 52 | -0.35 |
| 46 | Brett Hundley | QB | GB | 316 | 366 | -0.37 |
| 47 | David Fales | QB | MIA | 43 | 46 | -0.37 |
| 48 | Geno Smith | QB | NYG | 36 | 42 | -0.40 |
| 49 | Matt Cassel | QB | TEN | 42 | 50 | -0.43 |
| 50 | Nate Sudfeld | QB | PHI | 23 | 27 | -0.44 |
| 51 | EJ Manuel | QB | LV | 43 | 48 | -0.46 |
| 52 | T.J. Yates | QB | HOU | 97 | 115 | -0.47 |
| 53 | Bryce Petty | QB | NYJ | 112 | 126 | -0.48 |
| 54 | Nick Foles | QB | PHI | 101 | 106 | -0.58 |
| 55 | Eli Manning | QB | NYG | 571 | 608 | -0.76 |
| 56 | Cody Kessler | QB | CLE | 23 | 29 | -0.82 |
| 57 | Mike Glennon | QB | CHI | 140 | 149 | -0.88 |
| 58 | Jay Cutler | QB | MIA | 429 | 455 | -0.89 |
| 59 | Trevor Siemian | QB | DEN | 349 | 406 | -0.98 |
| 60 | C.J. Beathard | QB | SF | 224 | 254 | -1.03 |
| 61 | Mitchell Trubisky | QB | CHI | 330 | 380 | -1.07 |
| 62 | Brian Hoyer | QB | SF | 211 | 228 | -1.23 |
| 63 | Tom Savage | QB | HOU | 223 | 245 | -1.25 |
| 64 | Blake Bortles | QB | JAX | 523 | 570 | -1.36 |
| 65 | Blaine Gabbert | QB | ARI | 171 | 207 | -1.38 |
| 66 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | IND | 469 | 558 | -1.90 |
| 67 | Joe Flacco | QB | BAL | 549 | 579 | -2.23 |
| 68 | DeShone Kizer | QB | CLE | 476 | 558 | -2.80 |
More 2017 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards
EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play
Other seasons: 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2017 · 2016
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