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2022 NFL EPA per Dropback Leaders

Expected points added per dropback. Every play changes how many points a team can expect to score from where it stands; EPA is that change. Dropbacks are pass attempts, sacks and scrambles, so a sack counts against the quarterback and a scramble for a first down counts for him. Spikes and kneel-downs are left out.

How to read it. 0.00 is about average. +0.20 is very good; +0.30 is a top-three season. Below −0.10 is a struggle.

The 2022 leaders: Patrick Mahomes (+0.32), Josh Allen (+0.24), Tua Tagovailoa (+0.23).

EPA per Dropback

Minimum to rank: 14 pass attempts per team game (the NFL's minimum for passing rate leaders). 33 players.

RkPlayerPosTeamAttDropbacksEPA/DB
1Patrick MahomesQBKC648720+0.32
2Josh AllenQBBUF567650+0.24
3Tua TagovailoaQBMIA400430+0.23
4Jimmy GaroppoloQBSF308329+0.23
5Jalen HurtsQBPHI460541+0.19
6Jared GoffQBDET587624+0.16
7Joe BurrowQBCIN606673+0.16
8Trevor LawrenceQBJAX584633+0.15
9Dak PrescottQBDAL394429+0.09
10Jacoby BrissettQBCLE369413+0.09
11Daniel JonesQBNYG472565+0.09
12Geno SmithQBSEA572650+0.08
13Ryan TannehillQBTEN325370+0.08
14Tom BradyQBTB733756+0.08
15Lamar JacksonQBBAL326377+0.06
16Derek CarrQBLV502543+0.06
17Justin HerbertQBLAC699757+0.05
18Andy DaltonQBNO378414+0.04
19Kirk CousinsQBMIN643698+0.04
20Marcus MariotaQBATL300351+0.04
21Aaron RodgersQBGB542585+0.01
22Kyler MurrayQBARI390437-0.01
23Kenny PickettQBPIT389443-0.01
24Justin FieldsQBCHI318439-0.03
25Taylor HeinickeQBWAS259289-0.04
26Mac JonesQBNE442494-0.04
27Matt RyanQBIND461508-0.04
28Matthew StaffordQBLA303337-0.07
29Russell WilsonQBDEN483565-0.07
30Carson WentzQBWAS276314-0.10
31Zach WilsonQBNYJ242278-0.10
32Baker MayfieldQBCAR335385-0.12
33Davis MillsQBHOU479526-0.13

More 2022 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards

ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play

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