Passer Rating vs EPA: Which Tells You More?
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →2022 NFL Clutch EPA per Dropback Leaders
EPA per dropback in the 4th quarter or overtime with the score within 8 points. This matches FootballKickingStats.com's clutch definition on purpose.
The 2022 leaders: Joe Burrow (+0.44), Jared Goff (+0.37), Patrick Mahomes (+0.25).
Clutch EPA per Dropback
Minimum to rank: cl db >= 3 × team games. 25 players.
| Rk | Player | Pos | Team | Att | Dropbacks | Clutch EPA/DB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 606 | 673 | +0.44 |
| 2 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 587 | 624 | +0.37 |
| 3 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 648 | 720 | +0.25 |
| 4 | Matt Ryan | QB | IND | 461 | 508 | +0.25 |
| 5 | Geno Smith | QB | SEA | 572 | 650 | +0.21 |
| 6 | Tom Brady | QB | TB | 733 | 756 | +0.20 |
| 7 | Kenny Pickett | QB | PIT | 389 | 443 | +0.19 |
| 8 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | CLE | 369 | 413 | +0.16 |
| 9 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 394 | 429 | +0.14 |
| 10 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 567 | 650 | +0.11 |
| 11 | Kirk Cousins | QB | MIN | 643 | 698 | +0.08 |
| 12 | Derek Carr | QB | LV | 502 | 543 | +0.07 |
| 13 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | 326 | 377 | +0.06 |
| 14 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | GB | 542 | 585 | -0.03 |
| 15 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 584 | 633 | -0.08 |
| 16 | Mac Jones | QB | NE | 442 | 494 | -0.08 |
| 17 | Taylor Heinicke | QB | WAS | 259 | 289 | -0.09 |
| 18 | Russell Wilson | QB | DEN | 483 | 565 | -0.10 |
| 19 | Kyler Murray | QB | ARI | 390 | 437 | -0.10 |
| 20 | Daniel Jones | QB | NYG | 472 | 565 | -0.12 |
| 21 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | 699 | 757 | -0.12 |
| 22 | Tua Tagovailoa | QB | MIA | 400 | 430 | -0.14 |
| 23 | Davis Mills | QB | HOU | 479 | 526 | -0.16 |
| 24 | Andy Dalton | QB | NO | 378 | 414 | -0.31 |
| 25 | Justin Fields | QB | CHI | 318 | 439 | -0.33 |
More 2022 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards
EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play
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QBS BLOG · PASSING QUESTIONS · MINDSET
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