Passer Rating vs EPA: Which Tells You More?
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →Sacks, interceptions and completions that lost yards, for every dropback. Lower is better.
The 2022 leaders: Tom Brady (5.3%), Jared Goff (5.9%), Patrick Mahomes (6.5%).
Minimum to rank: 14 pass attempts per team game (the NFL's minimum for passing rate leaders). 33 players.
| Rk | Player | Pos | Team | Att | Dropbacks | Neg% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom Brady | QB | TB | 733 | 756 | 5.3% |
| 2 | Jared Goff | QB | DET | 587 | 624 | 5.9% |
| 3 | Patrick Mahomes | QB | KC | 648 | 720 | 6.5% |
| 4 | Trevor Lawrence | QB | JAX | 584 | 633 | 7.6% |
| 5 | Jimmy Garoppolo | QB | SF | 308 | 329 | 7.6% |
| 6 | Tua Tagovailoa | QB | MIA | 400 | 430 | 8.1% |
| 7 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | 567 | 650 | 8.2% |
| 8 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | CLE | 369 | 413 | 8.2% |
| 9 | Andy Dalton | QB | NO | 378 | 414 | 8.9% |
| 10 | Justin Herbert | QB | LAC | 699 | 757 | 9.0% |
| 11 | Derek Carr | QB | LV | 502 | 543 | 9.0% |
| 12 | Kyler Murray | QB | ARI | 390 | 437 | 9.2% |
| 13 | Kenny Pickett | QB | PIT | 389 | 443 | 9.5% |
| 14 | Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 606 | 673 | 9.5% |
| 15 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | GB | 542 | 585 | 9.6% |
| 16 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 394 | 429 | 9.8% |
| 17 | Lamar Jackson | QB | BAL | 326 | 377 | 9.8% |
| 18 | Kirk Cousins | QB | MIN | 643 | 698 | 10.0% |
| 19 | Geno Smith | QB | SEA | 572 | 650 | 10.3% |
| 20 | Davis Mills | QB | HOU | 479 | 526 | 10.5% |
| 21 | Jalen Hurts | QB | PHI | 460 | 541 | 10.7% |
| 22 | Daniel Jones | QB | NYG | 472 | 565 | 10.8% |
| 23 | Taylor Heinicke | QB | WAS | 259 | 289 | 11.1% |
| 24 | Mac Jones | QB | NE | 442 | 494 | 11.5% |
| 25 | Ryan Tannehill | QB | TEN | 325 | 370 | 12.2% |
| 26 | Zach Wilson | QB | NYJ | 242 | 278 | 12.2% |
| 27 | Marcus Mariota | QB | ATL | 300 | 351 | 12.3% |
| 28 | Matt Ryan | QB | IND | 461 | 508 | 12.4% |
| 29 | Carson Wentz | QB | WAS | 276 | 314 | 12.7% |
| 30 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LA | 303 | 337 | 12.8% |
| 31 | Russell Wilson | QB | DEN | 483 | 565 | 13.3% |
| 32 | Baker Mayfield | QB | CAR | 335 | 385 | 13.5% |
| 33 | Justin Fields | QB | CHI | 318 | 439 | 16.9% |
EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play
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What the box score cannot tell you about the people behind the pass.
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →Completion percentage over expected gives credit for difficult completions. Here is how ACE measures it.
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