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2021 NFL EPA per Dropback Leaders

Expected points added per dropback. Every play changes how many points a team can expect to score from where it stands; EPA is that change. Dropbacks are pass attempts, sacks and scrambles, so a sack counts against the quarterback and a scramble for a first down counts for him. Spikes and kneel-downs are left out.

How to read it. 0.00 is about average. +0.20 is very good; +0.30 is a top-three season. Below −0.10 is a struggle.

The 2021 leaders: Aaron Rodgers (+0.25), Patrick Mahomes (+0.23), Tom Brady (+0.20).

EPA per Dropback

Minimum to rank: 14 pass attempts per team game (the NFL's minimum for passing rate leaders). 31 players.

RkPlayerPosTeamAttDropbacksEPA/DB
1Aaron RodgersQBGB531575+0.25
2Patrick MahomesQBKC658732+0.23
3Tom BradyQBTB719749+0.20
4Jimmy GaroppoloQBSF441473+0.19
5Joe BurrowQBCIN520589+0.19
6Justin HerbertQBLAC672738+0.19
7Matthew StaffordQBLA601639+0.19
8Josh AllenQBBUF646718+0.18
9Dak PrescottQBDAL596646+0.17
10Kyler MurrayQBARI481541+0.15
11Teddy BridgewaterQBDEN426472+0.13
12Kirk CousinsQBMIN561599+0.12
13Mac JonesQBNE521563+0.10
14Jalen HurtsQBPHI432506+0.09
15Ryan TannehillQBTEN531596+0.08
16Lamar JacksonQBBAL382465+0.07
17Derek CarrQBLV626680+0.07
18Tua TagovailoaQBMIA388425+0.06
19Russell WilsonQBSEA400456+0.06
20Carson WentzQBIND516574+0.03
21Matt RyanQBATL560616+0.01
22Baker MayfieldQBCLE418484+0.00
23Daniel JonesQBNYG361405-0.02
24Taylor HeinickeQBWAS494569-0.02
25Jared GoffQBDET494535-0.05
26Ben RoethlisbergerQBPIT605644-0.06
27Trevor LawrenceQBJAX602663-0.07
28Davis MillsQBHOU394433-0.12
29Justin FieldsQBCHI270349-0.12
30Sam DarnoldQBCAR406464-0.14
31Zach WilsonQBNYJ383442-0.19

More 2021 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards

ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play

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