Passer Rating vs EPA: Which Tells You More?
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →Dropback EPA plus EPA on designed runs. Scrambles are already inside the dropback number, so they are not counted twice.
The 2016 leaders: Matt Ryan (+184.2), Aaron Rodgers (+153.6), Tom Brady (+151.4).
Counting stat: every player above zero is listed. 69 players.
| Rk | Player | Pos | Team | Att | Dropbacks | QB EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Ryan | QB | ATL | 534 | 587 | +184.2 |
| 2 | Aaron Rodgers | QB | GB | 610 | 686 | +153.6 |
| 3 | Tom Brady | QB | NE | 432 | 458 | +151.4 |
| 4 | Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 459 | 509 | +148.7 |
| 5 | Kirk Cousins | QB | WAS | 606 | 635 | +122.5 |
| 6 | Drew Brees | QB | NO | 673 | 696 | +120.3 |
| 7 | Matthew Stafford | QB | DET | 594 | 653 | +98.6 |
| 8 | Ben Roethlisberger | QB | PIT | 509 | 526 | +90.8 |
| 9 | Andrew Luck | QB | IND | 545 | 624 | +71.9 |
| 10 | Andy Dalton | QB | CIN | 563 | 624 | +69.3 |
| 11 | Derek Carr | QB | LV | 560 | 591 | +68.7 |
| 12 | Marcus Mariota | QB | TEN | 451 | 494 | +64.6 |
| 13 | Jameis Winston | QB | TB | 567 | 630 | +55.1 |
| 14 | Philip Rivers | QB | LAC | 578 | 619 | +54.0 |
| 15 | Tyrod Taylor | QB | BUF | 436 | 526 | +53.2 |
| 16 | Russell Wilson | QB | SEA | 546 | 619 | +49.0 |
| 17 | Alex Smith | QB | KC | 489 | 537 | +48.2 |
| 18 | Sam Bradford | QB | MIN | 552 | 596 | +33.8 |
| 19 | Brian Hoyer | QB | CHI | 200 | 203 | +32.7 |
| 20 | Matt Moore | QB | MIA | 87 | 87 | +29.6 |
| 21 | Carson Palmer | QB | ARI | 597 | 639 | +28.4 |
| 22 | Jimmy Garoppolo | QB | NE | 63 | 68 | +27.4 |
| 23 | Trevor Siemian | QB | DEN | 486 | 530 | +18.5 |
| 24 | Cody Kessler | QB | CLE | 195 | 218 | +18.1 |
| 25 | Colin Kaepernick | QB | SF | 331 | 401 | +14.5 |
| 26 | Carson Wentz | QB | PHI | 607 | 657 | +10.4 |
| 27 | Mike Glennon | QB | TB | 11 | 11 | +6.1 |
| 28 | Shaun Hill | QB | MIN | 35 | 37 | +5.7 |
| 29 | Ryan Tannehill | QB | MIA | 389 | 430 | +4.9 |
| 30 | Landry Jones | QB | PIT | 86 | 89 | +4.3 |
| 31 | Trevone Boykin | QB | SEA | 18 | 19 | +3.9 |
| 32 | Tony Romo | QB | DAL | 4 | 4 | +3.7 |
| 33 | Charlie Whitehurst | QB | CLE | 24 | 27 | +1.7 |
| 34 | Chase Daniel | QB | PHI | 1 | 1 | +1.6 |
| 35 | Matt Schaub | QB | ATL | 3 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 36 | Kevin Hogan | QB | CLE | 26 | 31 | -0.5 |
| 37 | Geno Smith | QB | NYJ | 14 | 19 | -2.0 |
| 38 | David Fales | QB | CHI | 5 | 6 | -2.8 |
| 39 | Kellen Clemens | QB | LAC | 1 | 1 | -3.0 |
| 40 | Eli Manning | QB | NYG | 598 | 622 | -4.2 |
| 41 | Ryan Mallett | QB | BAL | 6 | 6 | -4.2 |
| 42 | Paxton Lynch | QB | DEN | 83 | 98 | -5.8 |
| 43 | Matt McGloin | QB | LV | 15 | 15 | -6.2 |
| 44 | Nick Foles | QB | KC | 55 | 59 | -6.4 |
| 45 | Derek Anderson | QB | CAR | 53 | 54 | -6.5 |
| 46 | EJ Manuel | QB | BUF | 26 | 31 | -7.2 |
| 47 | Matt Barkley | QB | CHI | 216 | 223 | -7.9 |
| 48 | Tom Savage | QB | HOU | 73 | 80 | -8.7 |
| 49 | Brett Hundley | QB | GB | 10 | 10 | -8.8 |
| 50 | Cardale Jones | QB | BUF | 11 | 12 | -9.1 |
| 51 | Jacoby Brissett | QB | NE | 55 | 67 | -9.6 |
| 52 | Scott Tolzien | QB | IND | 37 | 41 | -11.4 |
| 53 | Connor Cook | QB | LV | 21 | 23 | -12.2 |
| 54 | Mark Sanchez | QB | DAL | 18 | 22 | -12.5 |
| 55 | Matt Cassel | QB | TEN | 51 | 56 | -12.6 |
| 56 | Sean Mannion | QB | LA | 6 | 6 | -12.7 |
| 57 | Drew Stanton | QB | ARI | 48 | 48 | -13.2 |
| 58 | Ryan Fitzpatrick | QB | NYJ | 403 | 440 | -14.0 |
| 59 | Robert Griffin III | QB | CLE | 147 | 182 | -17.5 |
| 60 | Cam Newton | QB | CAR | 510 | 554 | -18.3 |
| 61 | Blaine Gabbert | QB | SF | 160 | 188 | -20.0 |
| 62 | Joe Flacco | QB | BAL | 672 | 707 | -22.1 |
| 63 | Josh McCown | QB | CLE | 165 | 186 | -30.0 |
| 64 | Jay Cutler | QB | CHI | 137 | 157 | -30.5 |
| 65 | Blake Bortles | QB | JAX | 625 | 694 | -30.8 |
| 66 | Brock Osweiler | QB | HOU | 510 | 550 | -32.3 |
| 67 | Case Keenum | QB | LA | 322 | 353 | -35.4 |
| 68 | Bryce Petty | QB | NYJ | 133 | 149 | -35.8 |
| 69 | Jared Goff | QB | LA | 205 | 233 | -86.1 |
EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Expected Completion % Success Rate Total Passing EPA First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play
Other seasons: 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2017 · 2016
What the box score cannot tell you about the people behind the pass.
Why we rank quarterbacks by EPA per dropback, and what passer rating still gets right.
Read Article →Completion percentage over expected gives credit for difficult completions. Here is how ACE measures it.
Read Article →A sack is the rush, the line and the decision. Why our dropback stats count them.
Read Article →Learn the break down of ten mind-body recovery tools, each backed by science, including how and when to use them to perform at your peak.