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2023 NFL Expected Completion % Leaders

The completion percentage an average passer would have had on these exact throws. Low numbers mean a quarterback is attempting hard, deep or contested passes.

How to read it. Read it next to completion %. A high completion % with a low expected one is the sign of real accuracy.

The 2023 leaders: Kyler Murray (67.4%), Gardner Minshew (66.8%), Mac Jones (66.7%).

Expected Completion %

Minimum to rank: 14 pass attempts per team game (the NFL's minimum for passing rate leaders). 32 players.

RkPlayerPosTeamAttDropbacksxCmp%
1Kyler MurrayQBARI26830167.4%
2Gardner MinshewQBIND49054566.8%
3Mac JonesQBNE34537966.7%
4Aidan O'ConnellQBLV34336666.3%
5Jared GoffQBDET60563866.2%
6Derek CarrQBNO54858865.8%
7Zach WilsonQBNYJ36843665.8%
8Joe BurrowQBCIN36540265.7%
9Kenny PickettQBPIT32436065.7%
10Desmond RidderQBATL38843665.5%
11Sam HowellQBWAS61270965.5%
12Jake BrowningQBCIN24328365.4%
13Geno SmithQBSEA49954665.3%
14Tua TagovailoaQBMIA56060365.2%
15Justin HerbertQBLAC45651665.2%
16Matthew StaffordQBLA52156265.2%
17Bryce YoungQBCAR52761965.1%
18Patrick MahomesQBKC59767265.0%
19Baker MayfieldQBTB56663664.7%
20Lamar JacksonQBBAL45755964.6%
21Dak PrescottQBDAL59065664.6%
22Trevor LawrenceQBJAX56464064.5%
23Jalen HurtsQBPHI53862264.5%
24C.J. StroudQBHOU49955464.3%
25Joshua DobbsQBARI41748164.2%
26Russell WilsonQBDEN44752464.2%
27Brock PurdyQBSF44448664.0%
28Kirk CousinsQBMIN31132963.6%
29Justin FieldsQBCHI37045763.4%
30Josh AllenQBBUF57964963.3%
31Jordan LoveQBGB57963163.2%
32Will LevisQBTEN25529060.0%

More 2023 NFL Quarterback Leaderboards

EPA per Dropback ACE (Accuracy Compared to Expectation) ACE per 100 Attempts Success Rate Total Passing EPA Total QB EPA (Passing + Rushing) First-Down Rate per Dropback Explosive Pass Rate Negative-Play Rate Win Probability Added EPA per Dropback, Excluding Garbage Time NFL Passer Rating Completion % Yards per Attempt Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt Adjusted Yards per Attempt Net Yards per Attempt Yards per Completion Touchdown % Interception % TD:INT Ratio Sack % Passing Yards per Game Pass Attempts per Game Passing Yards Passing Touchdowns Completions Pass Attempts Interceptions Thrown Sacks Taken Passing First Downs 20+ Yard Completions 40+ Yard Completions Longest Completion 300-Yard Passing Games 4-Touchdown Games Wins as Starter Average Depth of Target Deep Attempt Rate Deep Completion % YAC per Completion Share of Yards Through the Air 3rd-Down Conversion Rate Red Zone Touchdown Rate Clutch EPA per Dropback Clutch Passer Rating Two-Minute Drill EPA per Dropback Game-Winning Drives 4th-Quarter Comebacks Quarterback Rushing Yards Quarterback Rushing EPA Scrambles QB Sneak Conversion Rate Touchdowns Responsible For Total Yards (Passing + Rushing) Turnovers Turnover Rate per Play

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