College Touchdowns of the Week, Week 7: Duce Robinson's 75-Yard Tying Score at Miami
By QBS Blog · Published · 4 min read
Down seven at No. 3 Miami with under three minutes left, Ashton Daniels threw 25 yards to the left side and Duce Robinson ran the other 50. The 75-yard touchdown tied the game with 2:49 left in regulation. Florida State lost 43-35 in double overtime, but no touchdown pass in Week 7 scored higher.
Touchdown of the Week: Ashton Daniels to Duce Robinson, 75 yards
Florida State trailed 28-21 when Daniels found Robinson on first-and-10. The catch came 25 yards downfield on the left side, and Robinson turned it into a 75-yard touchdown that tied the game with 2:49 left.
Robinson also caught a 20-yard touchdown to open the first overtime, and Daniels finished with 298 yards and four touchdown passes. Miami won it in the second overtime, 43-35.
Ashton Daniels to Duce Robinson, 75 yards · Florida State vs. MiamiMoment Touchdown that set up the tieClock at the snap Q4 2:46Down and distance 1st and 10Score before Florida State down 7Final Miami won 43-35Completion chance from air yards, lane, down, distance, field position, pressure and weather (the model behind ACE). Play-by-play gives the throw's lane and air yards, not the exact spot, so the catch is drawn in the middle of its lane.
Our model gave the throw a 46% completion chance; the 50 yards after the catch did the rest. It was one of Daniels' four touchdown passes in Week 7 and his 11th of the season.
Runner-up: Braden Atkinson to Jesse Legree, 90 yards, Oregon State
Braden Atkinson to Jesse Legree, 90 yards · Oregon State vs. Washington StateClock at the snap Q1 4:59Down and distance 1st and 10Score before Oregon State up 7Final Oregon State won 48-30Completion chance from air yards, lane, down, distance, field position, pressure and weather (the model behind ACE). Play-by-play gives the throw's lane and air yards, not the exact spot, so the catch is drawn in the middle of its lane.
Up seven in the first quarter, Braden Atkinson threw 46 yards down the middle and Jesse Legree ran the other 44 for a 90-yard touchdown (48% completion chance). The Oregon State beat the Washington State 48-30. Atkinson has 22 touchdown passes this season, four of them in Week 7.
Third: Julian Sayin to Jeremiah Smith, 38 yards, Ohio State
Julian Sayin to Jeremiah Smith, 38 yards · Ohio State vs. IndianaMoment Fourth quarter, one-score gameClock at the snap Q4 12:52Down and distance 4th and 1Score before Ohio State up 6Final Ohio State won 19-15Completion chance from air yards, lane, down, distance, field position, pressure and weather (the model behind ACE). Play-by-play gives the throw's lane and air yards, not the exact spot, so the catch is drawn in the middle of its lane.
Up six at Indiana early in the fourth quarter, fourth-and-1, Julian Sayin threw 38 yards down the middle and Jeremiah Smith caught it in the end zone (31% completion chance). The Ohio State won 19-15.
Fourth: Cutter Boley to Raiden Vines-Bright, 74 yards, Arizona State
Cutter Boley to Raiden Vines-Bright, 74 yards · Arizona State vs. Texas TechClock at the snap Q1 2:28Down and distance 2nd and 9Score before Arizona State down 21Final Texas Tech won 53-25Completion chance from air yards, lane, down, distance, field position, pressure and weather (the model behind ACE). Play-by-play gives the throw's lane and air yards, not the exact spot, so the catch is drawn in the middle of its lane.
Down 21 in the first quarter, Cutter Boley threw 44 yards to the right side and Raiden Vines-Bright ran the last 30 for a 74-yard touchdown (46% completion chance). The Texas Tech won 53-25.
Fifth: Corey Dailey to Cataurus Hicks, 75 yards, Pittsburgh
Corey Dailey to Cataurus Hicks, 75 yards · Pittsburgh vs. Boston CollegeClock at the snap Q1 14:54Down and distance 1st and 10Score before TiedFinal Boston College won 27-21Completion chance from air yards, lane, down, distance, field position, pressure and weather (the model behind ACE). Play-by-play gives the throw's lane and air yards, not the exact spot, so the catch is drawn in the middle of its lane.
Early in the first quarter, Corey Dailey threw 42 yards down the middle and Cataurus Hicks ran the last 33 for a 75-yard touchdown (45% completion chance). The Boston College won 27-21.
The one that got away
Florida State's last chance came in the second overtime, down eight. On the final play, Bryce Fitzgerald intercepted the pass in the end zone; Robinson was the intended receiver. "I thought it was a touchdown," Daniels said, "but we're not the ones out there calling the shots."
The week in numbers
The week in numbers table
Stat
This week
Touchdown passes
163
Touchdown passes of 40+ yards
27
Touchdown passes thrown 20+ yards in the air
46
Late go-ahead or winning touchdown passes
8
Longest
92 yards, Jackson Gutierrez to Jordan Collins (Navy)
Most touchdown passes
Conner Weigman (Houston), 5
Every touchdown pass thrown 20+ yards in the air, College Week 7 Where it was caught Line of scrimmageEach line runs from the line of scrimmage to the catch, in the lane the play-by-play gives (left, middle or right of the passer). The end zone is on the right.
How we pick the Touchdowns of the Week
Every touchdown pass gets a TD Score: how unlikely the completion was (one minus the completion chance, times 10), plus 0.1 for each yard the ball travelled in the air and 0.05 for each yard of the touchdown, plus the moment: 8 for a winning touchdown in the final 40 seconds or overtime, 4 for any other fourth-quarter go-ahead touchdown, 3 for one that set up the tie, 1 for any other fourth-quarter or overtime touchdown in a one-score game. The moment counts in full on throws with a completion chance of 60% or less and shrinks on easy ones. Touchdowns in garbage time (a margin over 22 points in the fourth quarter, over 28 in the third) count in the week's numbers but not in the top five. Completion chances come from the same model behind ACE (air yards, lane, down, distance, field position, pressure and weather). A quarterback can appear at most twice. In college, the play-by-play labels each throw short or deep instead of giving exact air yards, so the completion chance uses that label; air yards are read from the spot of the catch where the play text gives it. College numbers cover every game with an FBS team in it. Last week: College Touchdowns of the Week, Week 6: Ajani Sheppard's 79-Yard Answer for Temple.
Data: CollegeFootballData.com play-by-play; completion chances, TD Scores and ACE by QuarterbackStats.com.
